Adobe is lost on web3d. They will only allow 3rd party open source basement teens to direct it’s future. They have buried web3d multiple times going back into the macromedia years. They wont spend real internal A resources on it. They have no reason too since 2d flash and 3d in pdf is their distribution bread and butter. The gimiky 3d they showed as FLASH3D at the web2.0 conference, and their public offereing that their only real clients are the GE’s of the world, suggests the path of adobe web3d for another 3 years.

Adobe wont create any realtime 3d tools, that leaves autodesk and any startups like unity3D and others whom need plugin players since they cant rely on flash to play their code.

The next 3 years –well have a bunch of web3d techs all competing to show 3d in browser again, some with MU, but most will again be 3d in a 2d page.Flash 3d will be what paper3d offers with just more complex meshes and overly simplified avatar graphics moving in first level accelerated 3d scenes. Dont expect even WOW- 7 year old immersion in flash….

For all those with no history, this was exactly the web3d marketplace from 2001-5.;)

Well get more habbo/metas/moshis made by those paid to entertain and make toys and games,, all with a bit more 2.5d and 3d data avatars runing over 2d backgrounds…(AAA game tech in 1998)

But mini habbos made easier for every small biz website? Disguised as conference meeting rooms with scoreboards??..it all sounds very “skip intro movie” to me….

But a metaverse, 3d web, with any real roadmap?,

One can believe in Open Source Sims miracles I guess;)

I still hope theres a few kids in a basement in Iceland that will infect us all with a p2p 3d kazzaa….

maybe next decade?

This is good news for Raph though.

all at the time we see OpenCL for plug and play physics engines, reduced form factors like Nvidia’s Ion, App stores for components and content, Full HDTV/Browser integration, and iphones as TV remotes and input devices.

This may be a Recession, but everyone sees $$$$$$$$$$$ in the mashup of 3D,Open APIs, SaaS & micro-transactions.

Watch. It is time for Microsoft and Adobe to come out of the closet. Lets just hope we keep the advertisers and Google floundering for a little longer.

This has been one busy month: http://jeanricardbroek-architect.blogspot.com/2009_03_01_archive.html

Among the things announced this week in GDC were two developments in entirely different directions on a particular axis of games technology: first, the OnLive network of thin clients showing network-streamed video games rendered on a server cluster…

Now imagine what it will be like when people don’t have to create what is essentially a browser-based software renderer, and can use a real API like a functional subset of OpenGL…

Instead of neat little tech demos, we’ll finally have the ability to host virtual worlds.

/me is obviously still excited about the possibilities I’ve been reading about all day, not just here but at Raph’s blog, and all over the indie gamedev sphere

Kronos brings Collada, and Collada will bring Autodesk( to a point) and the Games makers EXCEPT for MS.

opengl vs directx has been a good reason web3d didnt get more usage over this last decade ago. and why kronos now is the announcer of this iniative and not the web3d.org;)

FIrefox with native 3d, great. Will it be a hype bubble for rt3D just as SL has been once “new” marketing folk can finally see web3d production values on their powerbooks and mac desktops.. maybe:0
but making lots of 3d marketing experiments has been done 3 times in a decade( the latest’s in SL ), having them reach a ROI isnt.

Sounds great, but why dont we all wait a bit before declaring the next metaverse. The last one has serious issues that are coming to a head very soon.

unity3d looks good, but unless its bundled with browser installs, it will NEED desirebable content en masses to attract its installation. And many with 3d plugins( even all platforms) have failed to figure out how to make happen before.

Hint, TVs withouts programming were just wood and glass furniture.

boo,
c3

Google commented, in fact, that the move would lead to ‘video games in a browser’ (woot! Lively returns!):

“Google was also excited by the prospect of a 3D web standard, which if successful could bring better videogames through the ‘net and pave the way for 3D chatrooms and the like.

“With more and more content moving to the web and JavaScript getting faster every day, the time is right to create an open, general purpose API for accelerated 3D graphics on the web,” said Matt Papakipos, Engineering Director at Google.

“Google looks forward to offering its expertise in graphics and web development to this discussion.”"

Having said that, I agree – clients will remain, for the foreseeable future, the richer and smoother experience. In particular Imprudence.

Mozilla has certainly not proposed anything specific to virtual worlds, only browser support for hardware accelerated 3D graphics in general. Someone else might try to use the technology to make a 3D virtual worlds client in the browser, but Mozilla hasn’t proposed that at all.

Anyway, 3D Canvas might be interesting for some lightweight, no-frills clients, but I don’t expect web-based clients to replace dedicated client software as the primary means of connecting to 3D virtual worlds.

They could be a nice secondary means, a way to connect when you’re away from your main computer, or as a gateway client to draw new users into the world. But dedicated clients will always be able to offer richer and smoother experiences, so returning users will still find it worthwhile to download and use a separate viewer application.